League of Legends

BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force Prediction

May 16, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force prediction for May 16, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Nongshim Red Force 0 - BNK FEARX 2. BNK FEARX is favored with a 55.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).

Nongshim Red Force
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • LCK
BNK FEARX
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
44.8%
55.2%
Nongshim Red ForceBNK FEARX
2-0
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALNongshim Red Force 0 — BNK FEARX 2
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 43.7% (9,096 games)

Team Profiles

BNK FEARX
Early
39%
Mid
45%
Late
43%
Elo: 1535 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 23-46 (33%)
Nongshim Red Force
Early
35%
Mid
48%
Late
46%
Elo: 1464 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 14-20 (41%)

Score Distribution

BNK FEARX winsNongshim Red Force wins
0-2
25.2%
1-2
19.1%
2-0
27.4%
2-1
28.2%

Advantage Breakdown

Player +0.4%Draft -0.1%Phase +0.1%Context -0.7%

Key Factors

Market Odds

BNK FEARX
-225
Edge: -20.3%
Nongshim Red Force
+170
Edge: +21.0%
🎯 Projection: Nongshim Red Force ML @ +170 · Edge +21.0%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.22
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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