Bohemian Guardians vs NightBirds prediction for May 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects NightBirds 2 - Bohemian Guardians 0. NightBirds is favored with a 81.7% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
NightBirds
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • Hitpoint Masters
Bohemian Guardians
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
NightBirdsBohemian Guardians
0-2
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 72.6% (9,273 games)
Team Profiles
Bohemian Guardians
Elo: 1156 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-5 (17%)
NightBirds
Elo: 1714 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-4 (71%)
Score Distribution
Bohemian Guardians winsNightBirds wins
0-2
51.9%
1-2
29.7%
2-0
6.8%
2-1
11.5%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -1.1%Draft -0.3%Phase -2.2%Context -1.6%
Key Factors
- NightBirds holds a significant Elo advantage (557 pts)
- NightBirds's early_aggro style creates a favorable matchup
- NightBirds is in stronger recent form
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.41
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →