League of Legends

HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming Prediction

May 7, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming prediction for May 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Colossal Gaming 2 - HMBLE 3. HMBLE is favored with a 75.6% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-2 (Best of 5).

Colossal Gaming
2
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • LIT
HMBLE
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
24.4%
75.6%
Colossal GamingHMBLE
3-2
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALColossal Gaming 0 — HMBLE 3
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 55.8% (7,816 games)

Team Profiles

HMBLE
Early
50%
Mid
55%
Late
59%
Elo: 1717 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 18-8 (69%)
Colossal Gaming
Early
56%
Mid
47%
Late
44%
Elo: 1509 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 6-10 (38%)

Score Distribution

HMBLE winsColossal Gaming wins
0-3
3.3%
1-3
10.7%
2-3
10.3%
3-0
24.9%
3-1
23.8%
3-2
26.9%

Advantage Breakdown

Player +0.2%Draft +0.2%Phase +1.1%Context +0.4%

Key Factors

championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.33
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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