Conviction vs Dorado Gaming prediction for May 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Dorado Gaming 0 - Conviction 2. Conviction is favored with a 83.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Dorado Gaming
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • NACL
Conviction
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Dorado GamingConviction
2-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 72.9% (8,843 games)
Team Profiles
Conviction
Early
67%
Mid
36%
Late
30%
Elo: 1569 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 0-6 (0%)
Dorado Gaming
Early
47%
Mid
36%
Late
30%
Elo: 1356 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 0-15 (0%)
Score Distribution
Conviction winsDorado Gaming wins
0-2
12.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-0
55.2%
2-1
28.8%
Advantage Breakdown
Phase +1.4%Context +2.0%
Key Factors
- Conviction holds a significant Elo advantage (213 pts)
- Conviction is in stronger recent form
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.40
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →