CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming prediction for May 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming 3 - CTBC Flying Oyster 1. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming is favored with a 82.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • Unknown
CTBC Flying Oyster
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks GamingCTBC Flying Oyster
1-3
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.6% (7,816 games)
Team Profiles
CTBC Flying Oyster
Early
60%
Mid
56%
Late
60%
Elo: 1291 · Record: 31-12 (72%)
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
Early
62%
Mid
47%
Late
45%
Elo: 1624 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 10-16 (38%)
Score Distribution
CTBC Flying Oyster winsFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming wins
0-3
31.0%
1-3
31.2%
2-3
19.8%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
5.8%
3-2
9.4%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft +0.1%Phase -0.5%Context -1.1%
Key Factors
- Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming holds a significant Elo advantage (333 pts)
- Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming leads the H2H record 2-1
- Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming is in stronger recent form
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.31
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →