League of Legends

Edward Gaming vs LGD Gaming Prediction

April 23, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Edward Gaming vs LGD Gaming prediction for April 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects LGD Gaming 1 - Edward Gaming 3. Edward Gaming is favored with a 61.4% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-1 (Best of 5).

LGD Gaming
1
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • Unknown
Edward Gaming
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
38.6%
61.4%
LGD GamingEdward Gaming
3-1
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 43.4% (5,360 games)

Team Profiles

Edward Gaming
Early
62%
Mid
50%
Late
50%
Elo: 1500 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-4 (50%)
LGD Gaming
Early
30%
Mid
44%
Late
40%
Elo: 1336 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 2-5 (29%)

Score Distribution

Edward Gaming winsLGD Gaming wins
0-3
7.6%
1-3
13.9%
2-3
17.1%
3-0
16.0%
3-1
23.5%
3-2
21.9%

Advantage Breakdown

Draft +0.3%Phase +0.9%Context +0.3%

Key Factors

Market Odds

Edward Gaming
+180
Edge: +71.9%
LGD Gaming
-240
Edge: -45.3%
🎯 Projection: Edward Gaming ML @ +180 · Edge +71.9%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.29
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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