Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming prediction for May 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming 0 - Team Secret Whales 2. Team Secret Whales is favored with a 78.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • EWC APAC
Team Secret Whales
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks GamingTeam Secret Whales
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.7% (8,698 games)
Team Profiles
Team Secret Whales
Early
47%
Mid
50%
Late
50%
Elo: 1887 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 23-24 (49%)
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
Early
62%
Mid
47%
Late
45%
Elo: 1621 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 10-16 (38%)
Score Distribution
Team Secret Whales winsFukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming wins
0-2
8.9%
1-2
13.1%
2-0
46.0%
2-1
32.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft +0.1%Phase +0.5%Context +0.9%
Key Factors
- Team Secret Whales holds a significant Elo advantage (266 pts)
- Team Secret Whales leads the H2H record 4-0
- Team Secret Whales is in stronger recent form
Market Odds
Team Secret Whales
-325
Edge: +2.0%
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
+230
Edge: -27.4%
🎯 Projection: Team Secret Whales ML @ -325 · Edge +2.0%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.27
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →