Team Liquid Alienware vs Karmine Corp prediction for June 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Karmine Corp 2 - Team Liquid Alienware 3. Karmine Corp is favored with a 50.2% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-2 (Best of 5).
Karmine Corp
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • MSI
Team Liquid Alienware
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Karmine CorpTeam Liquid Alienware
3-2
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 47.0% (9,867 games)
Team Profiles
Team Liquid Alienware
Elo: 1614 · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Karmine Corp
Early
52%
Mid
51%
Late
51%
Elo: 1673 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 4-3 (57%)
Score Distribution
Team Liquid Alienware winsKarmine Corp wins
0-3
10.4%
1-3
22.0%
2-3
17.9%
3-0
11.5%
3-1
16.0%
3-2
22.3%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.2%Draft -0.4%Phase -1.5%
Key Factors
- Karmine Corp has a moderate rating edge (59 Elo)
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.36
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →