LYON vs Team Liquid prediction for June 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Team Liquid 3 - LYON 1. Team Liquid is favored with a 58.4% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).
Team Liquid
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • LCS
LYON
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Team LiquidLYON
1-3
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 49.1% (9,823 games)
Team Profiles
LYON
Early
47%
Mid
48%
Late
48%
Elo: 1558 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-3 (25%)
Team Liquid
Elo: 1651 · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Score Distribution
LYON winsTeam Liquid wins
0-3
14.3%
1-3
23.5%
2-3
20.6%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
14.8%
3-2
18.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft +0.1%Phase +1.0%Context +0.2%
Key Factors
- Team Liquid has a moderate rating edge (93 Elo)
- LYON leads the H2H record 3-2
Market Odds
LYON
-150
Edge: -30.7%
Team Liquid
+115
Edge: +25.6%
🎯 Projection: Team Liquid ML @ +115 · Edge +25.6%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.39
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →