Maryville University vs Supernova prediction for May 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Supernova 0 - Maryville University 2. Maryville University is favored with a 79.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Supernova
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • NACL
Maryville University
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
SupernovaMaryville University
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.7% (8,843 games)
Team Profiles
Maryville University
Early
69%
Mid
64%
Late
72%
Elo: 1817 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 16-0 (100%)
Supernova
Early
60%
Mid
64%
Late
72%
Elo: 1673 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 5-0 (100%)
Score Distribution
Maryville University winsSupernova wins
0-2
14.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-0
50.2%
2-1
29.7%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft -0.3%Phase -0.2%Context +1.4%
Key Factors
- Maryville University holds a significant Elo advantage (145 pts)
Market Odds
Maryville University
-679
Edge: -8.8%
Supernova
+420
Edge: +6.7%
🎯 Projection: Supernova ML @ +420 · Edge +6.7%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.38
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →