Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming prediction for May 3, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Bilibili Gaming 2 - Ninjas in Pyjamas 0. Bilibili Gaming is favored with a 75.8% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Bilibili Gaming
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LPL
Ninjas in Pyjamas
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Bilibili GamingNinjas in Pyjamas
0-2
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 61.4% (6,921 games)
Team Profiles
Ninjas in Pyjamas
Early
51%
Mid
48%
Late
47%
Elo: 1580 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 16-21 (43%)
Bilibili Gaming
Early
55%
Mid
58%
Late
62%
Elo: 1765 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 78-22 (78%)
Score Distribution
Ninjas in Pyjamas winsBilibili Gaming wins
0-2
45.8%
1-2
30.0%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
14.8%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -1.0%Draft -1.1%Phase -1.0%Context -1.0%
Key Factors
- Bilibili Gaming holds a significant Elo advantage (186 pts)
- Bilibili Gaming leads the H2H record 2-1
Market Odds
Ninjas in Pyjamas
+400
Edge: +21.0%
Bilibili Gaming
-650
Edge: -12.5%
🎯 Projection: Ninjas in Pyjamas ML @ +400 · Edge +21.0%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.20
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →