Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Top Esports prediction for May 12, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Top Esports 3 - Ninjas in Pyjamas 1. Top Esports is favored with a 55.7% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).
Top Esports
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • Unknown
Ninjas in Pyjamas
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Top EsportsNinjas in Pyjamas
1-3
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 44.4% (8,557 games)
Team Profiles
Ninjas in Pyjamas
Early
51%
Mid
48%
Late
47%
Elo: 1559 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 16-21 (43%)
Top Esports
Early
50%
Mid
53%
Late
55%
Elo: 1616 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 45-29 (61%)
Score Distribution
Ninjas in Pyjamas winsTop Esports wins
0-3
13.8%
1-3
21.6%
2-3
20.3%
3-0
9.2%
3-1
15.9%
3-2
19.2%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -1.6%Draft -0.1%Phase -0.7%Context -2.1%
Key Factors
- Top Esports has a moderate rating edge (56 Elo)
- Top Esports holds a slight edge in player quality
Market Odds
Ninjas in Pyjamas
+180
Edge: +24.2%
Top Esports
-240
Edge: -21.2%
🎯 Projection: Ninjas in Pyjamas ML @ +180 · Edge +24.2%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.20
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →