Rising Gaming vs Arneb prediction for May 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Arneb 2 - Rising Gaming 0. Arneb is favored with a 60.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Arneb
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LJL
Rising Gaming
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
ArnebRising Gaming
0-2
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 49.1% (7,109 games)
Team Profiles
Rising Gaming
Elo: 1575 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 7-9 (44%)
Arneb
Elo: 1618 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 1-0 (100%)
Score Distribution
Rising Gaming winsArneb wins
0-2
32.4%
1-2
27.7%
2-0
17.5%
2-1
22.5%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +0.9%Draft +0.2%Phase -0.1%Context -1.1%
Key Factors
- Closely matched teams (43 Elo difference)
- Arneb is in stronger recent form
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.59
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →