Supernova vs Blue Otter prediction for May 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Blue Otter 0 - Supernova 2. Supernova is favored with a 81.0% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
Blue Otter
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • NACL
Supernova
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Blue OtterSupernova
2-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 75.8% (6,707 games)
Team Profiles
Supernova
Early
60%
Mid
64%
Late
72%
Elo: 1623 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 5-0 (100%)
Blue Otter
Early
64%
Mid
44%
Late
40%
Elo: 1206 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-10 (29%)
Score Distribution
Supernova winsBlue Otter wins
0-2
13.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-0
51.4%
2-1
30.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Phase +3.0%Context +1.9%
Key Factors
- Supernova holds a significant Elo advantage (417 pts)
- Supernova's early_aggro style creates a favorable matchup
- Supernova is in stronger recent form
Market Odds
Supernova
-889
Edge: -9.9%
Blue Otter
+404
Edge: -4.1%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.36
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →