FINAL: WSH 2 — COL 3. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected WSH 2.16 - COL 3.31 (COL at 59.6% win probability). The spread is 1.5 and the total is 6.0.
WSH
2.16
Projected Score
VS
O/U 6.0
COL
3.31
Projected Score
Win Probability
WSHCOL
+1.5
Spread (WSH)
6.0
Total Line
5,000
Simulations
COL L4WSH L5
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 61.7% (1,083 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
COL
2.23.34.4
WSH
1.12.23.2
Projected
WSH 2.16 — COL 3.31
Actual
WSH 2 — COL 3
Pick Results
Under 6.5totalWIN+1.21u
Game Odds
WSH ML
+148
COL ML
-182
Puck Line
+1.5
Total
6.0
Edge Detail
WSH Edge
+0.1%
COL Edge
-5.0%
Projected Total
5.47
-0.53 vs line
Goalie Matchup
Scott Wedgewood
1-22.24 GAA91.5% SV
Logan Thompson
31-62.36 GAA91.5% SV
Special Teams
Power Play
Penalty Kill
90% Confidence: 34.4% – 46.5% home win probability
AI Intelligence Analysis
LEAN +1YELLOW ZONE54.4% WR (n=50)
Duplicate entry — see COL@WSH above
Key Factors
- See COL@WSH analysis
Risk Factors
- See COL@WSH analysis
GOALIE CONFIRMEDLINE VALUEDIRECTION CONFIRMED
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
COL 59.6%
+0.1 pts
Spread
+1.5
+0.1 pts
Total
6.0
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NHL Hockey Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →