FINAL: CBJ 2 — SJS 3. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected CBJ 3.44 - SJS 2.17 (CBJ at 62.2% win probability). The spread is -1.5 and the total is 6.5.
CBJ
3.44
Projected Score
VS
O/U 6.5
SJS
2.17
Projected Score
Win Probability
CBJSJS
-1.5
Spread (CBJ)
6.5
Total Line
5,000
Simulations
SJSCBJ L4
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 61.7% (1,083 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
SJS
1.12.23.3
CBJ
2.43.44.5
Projected
CBJ 3.44 — SJS 2.17
Actual
CBJ 2 — SJS 3
Pick Results
Under 6.5totalWIN+0.81u
Game Odds
CBJ ML
-210
SJS ML
+170
Puck Line
-1.5
Total
6.5
Edge Detail
CBJ Edge
-5.5%
SJS Edge
+0.7%
Projected Total
5.61
-0.89 vs line
Goalie Matchup
Yaroslav Askarov
4-63.52 GAA88.7% SV
Jet Greaves
7-22.57 GAA90.9% SV
Special Teams
Power Play
Penalty Kill
90% Confidence: 52.9% – 71.6% home win probability
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
CBJ 62.2%
-5.5 pts
Spread
-1.5
-5.5 pts
Total
6.5
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NHL Hockey Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →