FINAL: CHI 3 — VAN 6. Our Monte Carlo simulation projected CHI 2.91 - VAN 1.56 (CHI at 57.2% win probability). The spread is -1.5 and the total is 6.0.
CHI
2.91
Projected Score
VS
O/U 6.0
VAN
1.56
Projected Score
Win Probability
CHIVAN
-1.5
Spread (CHI)
6.0
Total Line
1,000
Simulations
VANCHI L5
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 48.7% (1,083 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
VAN
0.51.62.6
CHI
1.82.94.0
Projected
CHI 2.91 — VAN 1.56
Actual
CHI 3 — VAN 6
Pick Results
Over 6.0totalWIN+0.40u
Game Odds
CHI ML
-152
VAN ML
+125
Puck Line
-1.5
Total
6.0
Edge Detail
CHI Edge
-3.1%
VAN Edge
-1.7%
Projected Total
4.48
-1.52 vs line
Goalie Matchup
Kevin Lankinen
25-153.82 GAA87.1% SV
Spencer Knight
12-82.62 GAA90.8% SV
Special Teams
Power Play
Penalty Kill
90% Confidence: 48.7% – 65.8% home win probability
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
CHI 57.2%
-3.1 pts
Spread
-1.5
-3.1 pts
Total
6.0
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NHL Hockey Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 1,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →