Alice Tubello vs Carole Monnet prediction for June 2, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Carole Monnet 0 - Alice Tubello 0. Alice Tubello is favored with a 50.5% win probability.
Carole Monnet
1500
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Alice Tubello
1500
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Carole MonnetAlice Tubello
Hard
Surface
Foggia
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.9% (4,286 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Foggia
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Alice Tubello
Carole Monnet
Alice Tubello leads by 0 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Alice Tubello SPW
58.0%
Above tour avg
Carole Monnet SPW
57.4%
Above tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Market Odds & Model Edge
Alice Tubello ML
-240
Model: 50%
Edge: -20.0%
Carole Monnet ML
+180
Model: 50%
Edge: +13.7%
Model Projection
Carole Monnet ML +180 · +13.7% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (0-point Elo gap)
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Alice Tubello has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Alice Tubello 50.5%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →