Alycia Parks vs Jil Teichmann prediction for May 19, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Jil Teichmann 0 - Alycia Parks 0. Jil Teichmann is favored with a 55.3% win probability.
Jil Teichmann
1515
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Alycia Parks
1449
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Jil TeichmannAlycia Parks
Hard
Surface
Rabat
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 57.6% (2,758 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Rabat
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Alycia Parks
Jil Teichmann
Jil Teichmann leads by 66 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Alycia Parks SPW
56.6%
Above tour avg
Jil Teichmann SPW
56.6%
Above tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Market Odds & Model Edge
Alycia Parks ML
-130
Model: 45%
Edge: -11.8%
Jil Teichmann ML
+110
Model: 55%
Edge: +7.6%
Model Projection
Jil Teichmann ML +110 · +7.6% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Jil Teichmann has a moderate 66-point Elo edge on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Jil Teichmann has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Jil Teichmann 55.3%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →