Amanda Anisimova vs Diane Parry prediction for May 30, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Diane Parry 0 - Amanda Anisimova 0. Amanda Anisimova is favored with a 50.0% win probability.
Diane Parry
1596
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Amanda Anisimova
1615
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Diane ParryAmanda Anisimova
Clay
Surface
WTA French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 52.9% (6,716 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Amanda Anisimova
Diane Parry
Amanda Anisimova leads by 19 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Amanda Anisimova SPW
55.1%
Below tour avg
Diane Parry SPW
55.0%
Below tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Market Odds & Model Edge
Amanda Anisimova ML
-358
Model: 50%
Edge: -28.2%
Diane Parry ML
+319
Model: 50%
Edge: +26.1%
Model Projection
Diane Parry ML +319 · +26.1% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (19-point Elo gap)
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Amanda Anisimova has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Amanda Anisimova 50.0%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →