Amanda Anisimova vs Iva Jović prediction for June 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Iva Jović 0 - Amanda Anisimova 0. Amanda Anisimova is favored with a 54.2% win probability.
Iva Jović
1527
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • WTA
Amanda Anisimova
1615
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Iva JovićAmanda Anisimova
Grass
Surface
WTA Queen's Club Championships
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 55.2% (5,057 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA Queen's Club Championships
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Amanda Anisimova
Iva Jović
Amanda Anisimova leads by 88 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Grass: 56.5%
Amanda Anisimova SPW
59.7%
Above tour avg
Iva Jović SPW
58.5%
Above tour avg
● Amanda Anisimova has a slight serve edge (+1.2%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Amanda Anisimova ML
-121
Model: 54%
Edge: -0.6%
Iva Jović ML
+112
Model: 46%
Edge: -1.3%
Key Matchup Factors
- Amanda Anisimova has a moderate 88-point Elo edge on Grass
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Amanda Anisimova has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Amanda Anisimova 54.2%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →