Anastasia Gasanova vs Polina Kudermetova prediction for May 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Polina Kudermetova 0 - Anastasia Gasanova 0. Anastasia Gasanova is favored with a 59.7% win probability.
Polina Kudermetova
1616
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Anastasia Gasanova
1545
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Polina KudermetovaAnastasia Gasanova
Hard
Surface
Istanbul Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.6% (1,654 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Istanbul Open
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Anastasia Gasanova
Polina Kudermetova
Polina Kudermetova leads by 70 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Anastasia Gasanova SPW
55.5%
Below tour avg
Polina Kudermetova SPW
52.9%
Below tour avg
● Anastasia Gasanova has a slight serve edge (+2.7%)
Key Matchup Factors
- Polina Kudermetova has a moderate 70-point Elo edge on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Anastasia Gasanova has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Anastasia Gasanova 59.7%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →