Camila Osorio vs Tereza Martincova prediction for May 20, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Tereza Martincova 0 - Camila Osorio 0. Camila Osorio is favored with a 64.4% win probability.
Tereza Martincova
1478
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Camila Osorio
1620
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Tereza MartincovaCamila Osorio
Hard
Surface
WTA Rabat
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 58.5% (2,567 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA Rabat
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Camila Osorio
Tereza Martincova
Camila Osorio leads by 142 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Camila Osorio SPW
58.0%
Above tour avg
Tereza Martincova SPW
55.9%
Below tour avg
● Camila Osorio has a slight serve edge (+2.1%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Camila Osorio ML
-723
Model: 64%
Edge: -23.5%
Tereza Martincova ML
+551
Model: 36%
Edge: +20.3%
Model Projection
Tereza Martincova ML +551 · +20.3% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Camila Osorio holds a commanding 142-point Elo advantage on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Camila Osorio has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Camila Osorio 64.4%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →