Clara Burel vs Katie Volynets prediction for May 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Katie Volynets 0 - Clara Burel 0. Katie Volynets is favored with a 50.2% win probability.
Katie Volynets
1521
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Clara Burel
1566
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Katie VolynetsClara Burel
Clay
Surface
WTA French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 53.4% (3,811 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Clara Burel
Katie Volynets
Clara Burel leads by 46 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Clara Burel SPW
55.5%
Below tour avg
Katie Volynets SPW
53.9%
Below tour avg
● Clara Burel has a slight serve edge (+1.5%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Clara Burel ML
+391
Model: 50%
Edge: +29.4%
Katie Volynets ML
-488
Model: 50%
Edge: -32.8%
Model Projection
Clara Burel ML +391 · +29.4% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Clara Burel has a moderate 46-point Elo edge on Clay
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Clara Burel has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Katie Volynets 50.2%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →