Coco Gauff vs Tamara Korpatsch prediction for June 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Tamara Korpatsch 0 - Coco Gauff 0. Coco Gauff is favored with a 69.6% win probability.
Tamara Korpatsch
1546
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • WTA
Coco Gauff
1777
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Tamara KorpatschCoco Gauff
Grass
Surface
WTA Wimbledon
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 65.7% (6,507 games)
Pick Results
Tamara Korpatsch +6.5 games +115spreadLOSS-0.50u
Match Context
Tournament
WTA Wimbledon
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Coco Gauff
Tamara Korpatsch
Coco Gauff leads by 231 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Grass: 56.5%
Coco Gauff SPW
64.1%
Above tour avg
Tamara Korpatsch SPW
57.8%
Above tour avg
● Coco Gauff has a significant serve advantage (+6.4%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Coco Gauff ML
-2495
Model: 70%
Edge: -26.5%
Tamara Korpatsch ML
+1199
Model: 30%
Edge: +22.7%
Model Projection
Tamara Korpatsch ML +1199 · +22.7% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Coco Gauff holds a commanding 231-point Elo advantage on Grass
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Coco Gauff has the stronger serve profile on this surface
- Heavy favorite (Coco Gauff at 70%) — ML value may be limited; consider live or set markets
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Coco Gauff 69.6%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →