Damir Dzumhur vs Vit Kopriva prediction for June 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Vit Kopriva 0 - Damir Dzumhur 0. Vit Kopriva is favored with a 61.6% win probability.
Vit Kopriva
1481
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • ATP
Damir Dzumhur
1425
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Vit KoprivaDamir Dzumhur
Grass
Surface
Mallorca
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 57.7% (6,036 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Mallorca
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 3 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Damir Dzumhur
Vit Kopriva
Vit Kopriva leads by 57 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Grass: 63.5%
Damir Dzumhur SPW
59.6%
Below tour avg
Vit Kopriva SPW
62.6%
Below tour avg
● Vit Kopriva has a slight serve edge (+3.0%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Damir Dzumhur ML
+101
Model: 38%
Edge: -11.4%
Vit Kopriva ML
-116
Model: 62%
Edge: +7.9%
Model Projection
Vit Kopriva ML -116 · +7.9% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Vit Kopriva has a moderate 57-point Elo edge on Grass
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Vit Kopriva has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Vit Kopriva 61.6%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →