Diane Parry vs Ann Li prediction for May 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Ann Li 0 - Diane Parry 0. Ann Li is favored with a 63.4% win probability.
Ann Li
1561
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Diane Parry
1596
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Ann LiDiane Parry
Clay
Surface
WTA French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 59.0% (3,925 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Diane Parry
Ann Li
Diane Parry leads by 36 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Diane Parry SPW
55.2%
Below tour avg
Ann Li SPW
59.6%
Above tour avg
● Ann Li has a significant serve advantage (+4.3%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Diane Parry ML
+219
Model: 37%
Edge: +5.3%
Ann Li ML
-246
Model: 63%
Edge: -7.7%
Model Projection
Diane Parry ML +219 · +5.3% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (36-point Elo gap)
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Ann Li has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Ann Li 63.4%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →