Dino Prizmic vs Felix Auger-Aliassime prediction for July 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Felix Auger-Aliassime 0 - Dino Prizmic 0. Felix Auger-Aliassime is favored with a 69.3% win probability.
Felix Auger-Aliassime
1692
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • ATP
Dino Prizmic
1460
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Felix Auger-AliassimeDino Prizmic
Grass
Surface
ATP Wimbledon
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 65.4% (6,507 games)
Match Context
Tournament
ATP Wimbledon
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 5 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Dino Prizmic
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Felix Auger-Aliassime leads by 232 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Grass: 63.5%
Dino Prizmic SPW
62.6%
Below tour avg
Felix Auger-Aliassime SPW
64.4%
Above tour avg
● Felix Auger-Aliassime has a slight serve edge (+1.8%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Dino Prizmic ML
+427
Model: 31%
Edge: +11.7%
Felix Auger-Aliassime ML
-503
Model: 69%
Edge: -14.1%
Model Projection
Dino Prizmic ML +427 · +11.7% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Felix Auger-Aliassime holds a commanding 232-point Elo advantage on Grass
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Felix Auger-Aliassime has the stronger serve profile on this surface
- Heavy favorite (Felix Auger-Aliassime at 69%) — ML value may be limited; consider live or set markets
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Felix Auger-Aliassime 69.3%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →