Elizabeth Mandlik vs Teodora Kostovic prediction for May 20, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Teodora Kostovic 0 - Elizabeth Mandlik 0. Elizabeth Mandlik is favored with a 51.8% win probability.
Teodora Kostovic
1500
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Elizabeth Mandlik
1500
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Teodora KostovicElizabeth Mandlik
Clay
Surface
WTA French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.9% (2,463 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Elizabeth Mandlik
Teodora Kostovic
Elizabeth Mandlik leads by 0 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Elizabeth Mandlik SPW
56.3%
Below tour avg
Teodora Kostovic SPW
54.9%
Below tour avg
● Elizabeth Mandlik has a slight serve edge (+1.4%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Elizabeth Mandlik ML
+222
Model: 52%
Edge: +20.8%
Teodora Kostovic ML
-274
Model: 48%
Edge: -25.1%
Model Projection
Elizabeth Mandlik ML +222 · +20.8% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (0-point Elo gap)
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Elizabeth Mandlik has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Elizabeth Mandlik 51.8%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →