Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Zakharova prediction for May 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Anastasia Zakharova 0 - Elsa Jacquemot 0. Anastasia Zakharova is favored with a 54.2% win probability.
Anastasia Zakharova
1534
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Elsa Jacquemot
1460
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Anastasia ZakharovaElsa Jacquemot
Hard
Surface
Internationaux de Strasbourg
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 51.7% (2,277 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Internationaux de Strasbourg
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Elsa Jacquemot
Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova leads by 74 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Elsa Jacquemot SPW
56.4%
Below tour avg
Anastasia Zakharova SPW
57.0%
Above tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Market Odds & Model Edge
Elsa Jacquemot ML
+130
Model: 46%
Edge: +2.3%
Anastasia Zakharova ML
-155
Model: 54%
Edge: -6.6%
Key Matchup Factors
- Anastasia Zakharova has a moderate 74-point Elo edge on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Anastasia Zakharova has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Anastasia Zakharova 54.2%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →