Filip Cristian Jianu vs Darwin Blanch prediction for June 22, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Darwin Blanch 0 - Filip Cristian Jianu 0. Darwin Blanch is favored with a 56.6% win probability.
Darwin Blanch
1460
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • ATP
Filip Cristian Jianu
1459
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Darwin BlanchFilip Cristian Jianu
Grass
Surface
ATP Wimbledon
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.5% (6,036 games)
Match Context
Tournament
ATP Wimbledon
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 5 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Filip Cristian Jianu
Darwin Blanch
Darwin Blanch leads by 1 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Grass: 63.5%
Filip Cristian Jianu SPW
64.9%
Above tour avg
Darwin Blanch SPW
66.1%
Above tour avg
● Darwin Blanch has a slight serve edge (+1.2%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Filip Cristian Jianu ML
+390
Model: 43%
Edge: +23.0%
Darwin Blanch ML
-520
Model: 57%
Edge: -27.2%
Model Projection
Filip Cristian Jianu ML +390 · +23.0% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (1-point Elo gap)
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Darwin Blanch has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Darwin Blanch 56.6%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →