Francisca Jorge vs Dalma Galfi prediction for June 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Dalma Galfi 0 - Francisca Jorge 0. Dalma Galfi is favored with a 50.9% win probability.
Dalma Galfi
1507
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • WTA
Francisca Jorge
1539
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Dalma GalfiFrancisca Jorge
Grass
Surface
WTA Wimbledon
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 52.0% (6,309 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA Wimbledon
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Francisca Jorge
Dalma Galfi
Francisca Jorge leads by 33 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Grass: 56.5%
Francisca Jorge SPW
58.1%
Above tour avg
Dalma Galfi SPW
59.4%
Above tour avg
● Dalma Galfi has a slight serve edge (+1.3%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Francisca Jorge ML
+187
Model: 49%
Edge: +14.3%
Dalma Galfi ML
-205
Model: 51%
Edge: -16.4%
Model Projection
Francisca Jorge ML +187 · +14.3% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (33-point Elo gap)
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Dalma Galfi has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Dalma Galfi 50.9%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →