Hamish Stewart vs Emilio Nava prediction for June 20, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Emilio Nava 0 - Hamish Stewart 0. Emilio Nava is favored with a 61.4% win probability.
Emilio Nava
1497
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • ATP
Hamish Stewart
1586
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Emilio NavaHamish Stewart
Grass
Surface
ATP Eastbourne
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 55.5% (5,961 games)
Match Context
Tournament
ATP Eastbourne
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 3 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Hamish Stewart
Emilio Nava
Hamish Stewart leads by 89 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Grass: 63.5%
Hamish Stewart SPW
64.0%
Above tour avg
Emilio Nava SPW
66.4%
Above tour avg
● Emilio Nava has a slight serve edge (+2.5%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Hamish Stewart ML
+169
Model: 39%
Edge: +1.4%
Emilio Nava ML
-200
Model: 61%
Edge: -5.3%
Key Matchup Factors
- Hamish Stewart has a moderate 89-point Elo edge on Grass
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Emilio Nava has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Emilio Nava 61.4%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →