Hannah Klugman vs Harriet Dart prediction for June 16, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Harriet Dart 0 - Hannah Klugman 0. Hannah Klugman is favored with a 53.0% win probability.
Harriet Dart
1525
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Hannah Klugman
1469
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Harriet DartHannah Klugman
Hard
Surface
WTA Nottingham
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 51.3% (5,551 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA Nottingham
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Hannah Klugman
Harriet Dart
Harriet Dart leads by 55 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Hannah Klugman SPW
56.1%
Below tour avg
Harriet Dart SPW
53.7%
Below tour avg
● Hannah Klugman has a slight serve edge (+2.4%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Hannah Klugman ML
+189
Model: 53%
Edge: +18.4%
Harriet Dart ML
-221
Model: 47%
Edge: -21.8%
Model Projection
Hannah Klugman ML +189 · +18.4% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Harriet Dart has a moderate 55-point Elo edge on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Hannah Klugman has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Hannah Klugman 53.0%
--
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →