Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee prediction for June 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Lanlana Tararudee 0 - Harmony Tan 0. Lanlana Tararudee is favored with a 58.6% win probability.
Lanlana Tararudee
1500
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Harmony Tan
1456
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Lanlana TararudeeHarmony Tan
Hard
Surface
Ilkley
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 59.6% (5,057 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Ilkley
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Harmony Tan
Lanlana Tararudee
Lanlana Tararudee leads by 44 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Harmony Tan SPW
58.8%
Above tour avg
Lanlana Tararudee SPW
61.2%
Above tour avg
● Lanlana Tararudee has a slight serve edge (+2.4%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Harmony Tan ML
+108
Model: 41%
Edge: -6.6%
Lanlana Tararudee ML
-128
Model: 59%
Edge: +2.4%
Key Matchup Factors
- Lanlana Tararudee has a moderate 44-point Elo edge on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Lanlana Tararudee has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Lanlana Tararudee 58.6%
--
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →