Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova prediction for June 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Liudmila Samsonova 0 - Harriet Dart 0. Liudmila Samsonova is favored with a 68.0% win probability.
Liudmila Samsonova
1703
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Harriet Dart
1545
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Liudmila SamsonovaHarriet Dart
Hard
Surface
London
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 62.2% (4,473 games)
Match Context
Tournament
London
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Harriet Dart
Liudmila Samsonova
Liudmila Samsonova leads by 158 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Harriet Dart SPW
55.6%
Below tour avg
Liudmila Samsonova SPW
60.5%
Above tour avg
● Liudmila Samsonova has a significant serve advantage (+4.8%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Harriet Dart ML
+220
Model: 32%
Edge: +0.8%
Liudmila Samsonova ML
-275
Model: 68%
Edge: -5.4%
Key Matchup Factors
- Liudmila Samsonova holds a commanding 158-point Elo advantage on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Liudmila Samsonova has the stronger serve profile on this surface
- Heavy favorite (Liudmila Samsonova at 68%) — ML value may be limited; consider live or set markets
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Liudmila Samsonova 68.0%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →