Irina-Camelia Begu vs Elizara Yaneva prediction for May 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Elizara Yaneva 0 - Irina-Camelia Begu 0. Irina-Camelia Begu is favored with a 54.4% win probability.
Elizara Yaneva
1500
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Irina-Camelia Begu
1500
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Elizara YanevaIrina-Camelia Begu
Clay
Surface
WTA French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 51.0% (2,366 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Irina-Camelia Begu
Elizara Yaneva
Irina-Camelia Begu leads by 0 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Irina-Camelia Begu SPW
55.3%
Below tour avg
Elizara Yaneva SPW
55.2%
Below tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Market Odds & Model Edge
Irina-Camelia Begu ML
-116
Model: 54%
Edge: +0.7%
Elizara Yaneva ML
-103
Model: 46%
Edge: -5.1%
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (0-point Elo gap)
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Irina-Camelia Begu has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Irina-Camelia Begu 54.4%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →