Jack Kennedy vs Liam Broady prediction for July 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Liam Broady 0 - Jack Kennedy 0. Liam Broady is favored with a 72.0% win probability.
Liam Broady
1687
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • ATP
Jack Kennedy
1624
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Liam BroadyJack Kennedy
Hard
Surface
ATP Challenger Cary - R16
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 66.7% (6,507 games)
Match Context
Tournament
ATP Challenger Cary - R16
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Jack Kennedy
Liam Broady
Liam Broady leads by 63 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Hard: 63.5%
Jack Kennedy SPW
54.9%
Below tour avg
Liam Broady SPW
63.5%
Below tour avg
● Liam Broady has a significant serve advantage (+8.6%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Jack Kennedy ML
+246
Model: 28%
Edge: -0.9%
Liam Broady ML
-315
Model: 72%
Edge: -3.9%
Key Matchup Factors
- Liam Broady has a moderate 63-point Elo edge on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Liam Broady has the stronger serve profile on this surface
- Heavy favorite (Liam Broady at 72%) — ML value may be limited; consider live or set markets
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Liam Broady 72.0%
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More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →