Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau prediction for June 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Alexis Galarneau 0 - Jan-Lennard Struff 0. Alexis Galarneau is favored with a 50.2% win probability.
Alexis Galarneau
1471
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • ATP
Jan-Lennard Struff
1445
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Alexis GalarneauJan-Lennard Struff
Hard
Surface
Boss Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.2% (4,889 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Boss Open
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Jan-Lennard Struff
Alexis Galarneau
Alexis Galarneau leads by 26 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Hard: 63.5%
Jan-Lennard Struff SPW
63.7%
Above tour avg
Alexis Galarneau SPW
62.9%
Below tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (26-point Elo gap)
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Jan-Lennard Struff has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Alexis Galarneau 50.2%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →