Jan-Lennard Struff vs Martin Landaluce prediction for June 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Martin Landaluce 0 - Jan-Lennard Struff 0. Jan-Lennard Struff is favored with a 63.5% win probability.
Martin Landaluce
1421
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • ATP
Jan-Lennard Struff
1495
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Martin LandaluceJan-Lennard Struff
Grass
Surface
Mallorca
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 57.4% (5,978 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Mallorca
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 3 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Jan-Lennard Struff
Martin Landaluce
Jan-Lennard Struff leads by 74 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Grass: 63.5%
Jan-Lennard Struff SPW
67.5%
Above tour avg
Martin Landaluce SPW
63.1%
Below tour avg
● Jan-Lennard Struff has a significant serve advantage (+4.4%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Jan-Lennard Struff ML
+132
Model: 64%
Edge: +20.4%
Martin Landaluce ML
-152
Model: 36%
Edge: -23.8%
Model Projection
Jan-Lennard Struff ML +132 · +20.4% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Jan-Lennard Struff has a moderate 74-point Elo edge on Grass
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Jan-Lennard Struff has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Jan-Lennard Struff 63.5%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →