Jil Teichmann vs Julia Grabher prediction for May 20, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Julia Grabher 0 - Jil Teichmann 0. Jil Teichmann is favored with a 54.3% win probability.
Julia Grabher
1462
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Jil Teichmann
1515
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Julia GrabherJil Teichmann
Hard
Surface
Rabat
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.8% (2,384 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Rabat
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Jil Teichmann
Julia Grabher
Jil Teichmann leads by 54 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Jil Teichmann SPW
60.2%
Above tour avg
Julia Grabher SPW
58.2%
Above tour avg
● Jil Teichmann has a slight serve edge (+2.0%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Jil Teichmann ML
+115
Model: 54%
Edge: +7.8%
Julia Grabher ML
-140
Model: 46%
Edge: -12.7%
Model Projection
Jil Teichmann ML +115 · +7.8% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Jil Teichmann has a moderate 54-point Elo edge on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Jil Teichmann has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Jil Teichmann 54.3%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →