Jil Teichmann vs Rebeka Masarova prediction for June 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Rebeka Masarova 0 - Jil Teichmann 0. Rebeka Masarova is favored with a 55.0% win probability.
Rebeka Masarova
1558
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • WTA
Jil Teichmann
1547
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Rebeka MasarovaJil Teichmann
Grass
Surface
WTA Wimbledon
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 52.2% (6,309 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA Wimbledon
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Jil Teichmann
Rebeka Masarova
Rebeka Masarova leads by 11 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Grass: 56.5%
Jil Teichmann SPW
59.9%
Above tour avg
Rebeka Masarova SPW
61.3%
Above tour avg
● Rebeka Masarova has a slight serve edge (+1.4%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Jil Teichmann ML
+306
Model: 45%
Edge: +20.3%
Rebeka Masarova ML
-381
Model: 55%
Edge: -24.2%
Model Projection
Jil Teichmann ML +306 · +20.3% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (11-point Elo gap)
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Rebeka Masarova has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Rebeka Masarova 55.0%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →