Julia Grabher vs Jil Teichmann prediction for May 19, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Jil Teichmann 0 - Julia Grabher 0. Jil Teichmann is favored with a 52.6% win probability.
Jil Teichmann
1515
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Julia Grabher
1462
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Jil TeichmannJulia Grabher
Hard
Surface
WTA Rabat
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.2% (2,335 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA Rabat
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Julia Grabher
Jil Teichmann
Jil Teichmann leads by 54 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Julia Grabher SPW
58.2%
Above tour avg
Jil Teichmann SPW
60.2%
Above tour avg
● Jil Teichmann has a slight serve edge (+2.0%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Julia Grabher ML
-114
Model: 47%
Edge: -5.9%
Jil Teichmann ML
-100
Model: 53%
Edge: +2.6%
Key Matchup Factors
- Jil Teichmann has a moderate 54-point Elo edge on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Jil Teichmann has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Jil Teichmann 52.6%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →