Kamil Majchrzak vs Daniil Medvedev prediction for June 13, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Daniil Medvedev 0 - Kamil Majchrzak 0. Daniil Medvedev is favored with a 69.2% win probability.
Daniil Medvedev
1846
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • WTA
Kamil Majchrzak
1584
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Daniil MedvedevKamil Majchrzak
Hard
Surface
Libéma Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 62.6% (5,165 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Libéma Open
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Kamil Majchrzak
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev leads by 262 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%
Kamil Majchrzak SPW
61.1%
Above tour avg
Daniil Medvedev SPW
67.5%
Above tour avg
● Daniil Medvedev has a significant serve advantage (+6.4%)
Key Matchup Factors
- Daniil Medvedev holds a commanding 262-point Elo advantage on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Daniil Medvedev has the stronger serve profile on this surface
- Heavy favorite (Daniil Medvedev at 69%) — ML value may be limited; consider live or set markets
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Daniil Medvedev 69.2%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →