Kamilla Rakhimova vs Antonia Ruzic prediction for May 7, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Antonia Ruzic 0 - Kamilla Rakhimova 0. Kamilla Rakhimova is favored with a 55.4% win probability.
Antonia Ruzic
1521
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Kamilla Rakhimova
1562
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Antonia RuzicKamilla Rakhimova
Clay
Surface
WTA Italian Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.7% (1,570 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA Italian Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Kamilla Rakhimova
Antonia Ruzic
Kamilla Rakhimova leads by 41 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Kamilla Rakhimova SPW
52.8%
Below tour avg
Antonia Ruzic SPW
54.3%
Below tour avg
● Antonia Ruzic has a slight serve edge (+1.5%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Kamilla Rakhimova ML
-105
Model: 55%
Edge: +4.2%
Antonia Ruzic ML
+110
Model: 45%
Edge: -3.0%
Key Matchup Factors
- Kamilla Rakhimova has a moderate 41-point Elo edge on Clay
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Antonia Ruzic has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Kamilla Rakhimova 55.4%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →