Kamilla Rakhimova vs Harriet Dart prediction for June 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Harriet Dart 0 - Kamilla Rakhimova 0. Harriet Dart is favored with a 65.6% win probability.
Harriet Dart
1563
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • WTA
Kamilla Rakhimova
1536
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Harriet DartKamilla Rakhimova
Grass
Surface
WTA Queen's Club Championships
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 60.7% (5,057 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA Queen's Club Championships
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Kamilla Rakhimova
Harriet Dart
Harriet Dart leads by 27 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Grass: 56.5%
Kamilla Rakhimova SPW
54.1%
Below tour avg
Harriet Dart SPW
58.7%
Above tour avg
● Harriet Dart has a significant serve advantage (+4.6%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Kamilla Rakhimova ML
+112
Model: 34%
Edge: -12.8%
Harriet Dart ML
-126
Model: 66%
Edge: +9.8%
Model Projection
Harriet Dart ML -126 · +9.8% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (27-point Elo gap)
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Harriet Dart has the stronger serve profile on this surface
- Heavy favorite (Harriet Dart at 66%) — ML value may be limited; consider live or set markets
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Harriet Dart 65.6%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →