Karolina Pliskova vs Yeonwoo Ku prediction for May 19, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Yeonwoo Ku 0 - Karolina Pliskova 0. Karolina Pliskova is favored with a 53.9% win probability.
Yeonwoo Ku
1492
Clay Elo
VS
Clay • WTA
Karolina Pliskova
1615
Clay Elo
Match Win Probability
Yeonwoo KuKarolina Pliskova
Clay
Surface
WTA French Open
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.9% (2,463 games)
Match Context
Tournament
WTA French Open
Surface
Clay
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Clay)
Karolina Pliskova
Yeonwoo Ku
Karolina Pliskova leads by 123 Elo points on Clay
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Clay: 56.5%
Karolina Pliskova SPW
55.7%
Below tour avg
Yeonwoo Ku SPW
58.5%
Above tour avg
● Yeonwoo Ku has a slight serve edge (+2.8%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Karolina Pliskova ML
-1726
Model: 54%
Edge: -40.6%
Yeonwoo Ku ML
+884
Model: 46%
Edge: +35.9%
Model Projection
Yeonwoo Ku ML +884 · +35.9% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Karolina Pliskova holds a commanding 123-point Elo advantage on Clay
- Clay surface reduces serve dominance — expect more breaks of serve and longer rallies
- Yeonwoo Ku has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Karolina Pliskova 53.9%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →