Katherine Sebov vs Iryna Shymanovich prediction for June 25, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Iryna Shymanovich 0 - Katherine Sebov 0. Katherine Sebov is favored with a 55.6% win probability.
Iryna Shymanovich
1524
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • WTA
Katherine Sebov
1480
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Iryna ShymanovichKatherine Sebov
Grass
Surface
WTA Wimbledon
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.3% (6,507 games)
Pick Results
Katherine Sebov +2.5 games -105spreadWIN+0.48u
Match Context
Tournament
WTA Wimbledon
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 3 · WTA
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Katherine Sebov
Iryna Shymanovich
Iryna Shymanovich leads by 44 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Grass: 56.5%
Katherine Sebov SPW
60.0%
Above tour avg
Iryna Shymanovich SPW
57.6%
Above tour avg
● Katherine Sebov has a slight serve edge (+2.4%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Katherine Sebov ML
+177
Model: 56%
Edge: +19.5%
Iryna Shymanovich ML
-194
Model: 44%
Edge: -21.6%
Model Projection
Katherine Sebov ML +177 · +19.5% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Iryna Shymanovich has a moderate 44-point Elo edge on Grass
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Katherine Sebov has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Katherine Sebov 55.6%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →