Kilian Feldbausch vs Nishesh Basavareddy prediction for May 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Nishesh Basavareddy 0 - Kilian Feldbausch 0. Kilian Feldbausch is favored with a 54.3% win probability.
Nishesh Basavareddy
1530
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • ATP
Kilian Feldbausch
1557
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Nishesh BasavareddyKilian Feldbausch
Hard
Surface
Geneva
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.2% (2,335 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Geneva
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Kilian Feldbausch
Nishesh Basavareddy
Kilian Feldbausch leads by 26 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Hard: 63.5%
Kilian Feldbausch SPW
63.4%
Below tour avg
Nishesh Basavareddy SPW
61.2%
Below tour avg
● Kilian Feldbausch has a slight serve edge (+2.1%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Kilian Feldbausch ML
-109
Model: 54%
Edge: +2.1%
Nishesh Basavareddy ML
-109
Model: 46%
Edge: -6.4%
Key Matchup Factors
- Players are closely matched (26-point Elo gap)
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Kilian Feldbausch has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Kilian Feldbausch 54.3%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →