Kimmer Coppejans vs Roman Safiullin prediction for June 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Roman Safiullin 0 - Kimmer Coppejans 0. Roman Safiullin is favored with a 55.9% win probability.
Roman Safiullin
1414
Grass Elo
VS
Grass • ATP
Kimmer Coppejans
1614
Grass Elo
Match Win Probability
Roman SafiullinKimmer Coppejans
Grass
Surface
ATP Wimbledon
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 53.3% (6,309 games)
Match Context
Tournament
ATP Wimbledon
Surface
Grass
Format
Best of 5 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Grass)
Kimmer Coppejans
Roman Safiullin
Kimmer Coppejans leads by 200 Elo points on Grass
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Grass: 63.5%
Kimmer Coppejans SPW
65.3%
Above tour avg
Roman Safiullin SPW
66.7%
Above tour avg
● Roman Safiullin has a slight serve edge (+1.4%)
Market Odds & Model Edge
Kimmer Coppejans ML
+357
Model: 44%
Edge: +22.2%
Roman Safiullin ML
-469
Model: 56%
Edge: -26.5%
Model Projection
Kimmer Coppejans ML +357 · +22.2% edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Kimmer Coppejans holds a commanding 200-point Elo advantage on Grass
- Grass surface amplifies serve advantage — expect fewer breaks, more tiebreaks
- Roman Safiullin has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Roman Safiullin 55.9%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →